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The ChAdOx1 nCov-2019 coronavirus vaccine, developed by teams at the University of Oxford, has been shown to trigger a robust immune response in healthy adults aged 56-69 and those over 70 years of age.
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© Credit: University of Oxford, John Cairns
Effectiveness of biomarker-guided duration of antibiotic treatment in children hospitalised with confirmed or suspected bacterial infection: the BATCH RCT.
BACKGROUND: Procalcitonin is a biomarker specific for bacterial infection, with a more rapid response than other commonly used biomarkers, such as C-reactive protein, but it is not routinely used in the National Health Service. OBJECTIVE: To determine if using a procalcitonin-guided algorithm may safely reduce duration of antibiotic therapy compared to standard of care in hospitalised children with suspected or confirmed infection. DESIGN: A pragmatic, multicentre, open-label, parallel two-arm, individually randomised controlled trial with internal pilot phase, qualitative study and health economic evaluations. SETTING: Paediatric wards or paediatric intensive care units within children's hospitals (n = 6) and district general hospitals (n = 9) in the United Kingdom. PARTICIPANTS: Children aged between 72 hours and 18 years admitted to hospital and being treated with intravenous antibiotics for suspected or confirmed bacterial infection. INTERVENTIONS: Procalcitonin-guided algorithm versus usual standard care alone. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Coprimary outcomes were duration of intravenous antibiotic use and a composite safety measure. RESULTS: Between 11 June 2018 and 12 October 2022, 1949 children were recruited: 977 to the procalcitonin group [427 female (43.7%), 550 male (56.3%)], and 972 to the usual care group [478 female (49.2%), 494 male (50.8%)]. Duration of intravenous antibiotics was not significantly different between the procalcitonin group (median 96.0 hours) and the usual care group (median 99.7 hours) [hazard ratio = 0.96 (0.87, 1.05)], and the procalcitonin-guided algorithm was non-inferior to usual care [risk difference = -0.81% (95% confidence interval upper bound 1.11%)]. At clinical review, a procalcitonin result was available for 81.8% of the time, which was considered as part of clinical decision-making 66.6% of the time, and the algorithm was adhered to 57.2% of the time. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio per duration of intravenous antibiotics hour avoided from bootstrapped samples was £467.62 per intravenous antibiotic hour avoided. Cost analysis of complete cases was also higher in the procalcitonin arm for all age groups, and for children aged 5 years and over. The intervention is not cost-effective as it is more expensive with no significant improvement in intravenous antibiotic duration. LIMITATIONS: Robust antimicrobial stewardship programmes were already implemented in the lead recruiting sites, and adherence to the algorithm was poor. Clinicians may be reluctant to adhere to biomarker-guided algorithms, due to unfamiliarity with interpreting the test result. CONCLUSIONS: In children hospitalised with confirmed or suspected bacterial infection, the addition of a procalcitonin-guided algorithm to usual care is non-inferior in terms of safety, but does not reduce duration of intravenous antibiotics, and is not cost-effective. In the presence of robust antimicrobial stewardship programmes to reduce antibiotic use, a procalcitonin-guided algorithm may offer little added value. FUTURE WORK: Future trials must include an implementation framework to improve trial intervention fidelity, and repeated cycles of education and training to facilitate implementation of biomarker-guided algorithms into routine clinical care. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This trial is registered as ISRCTN11369832. FUNDING: This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme (NIHR award ref: 15/188/42) and is published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 29, No. 16. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.
Safety and broad immunogenicity of HIVconsvX conserved mosaic candidate T-cell vaccines vectored by ChAdOx1 and MVA in HIV-CORE 006: a double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled phase 1 trial in healthy adults living without HIV-1 in eastern and southern Africa
Background: Even within the context of antiretroviral treatment and prevention, an HIV-1 vaccine remains the best strategy for ending the HIV/AIDS epidemic. A vaccine is particularly needed in sub-Saharan Africa, where HIV-1 greatly affects people's lives and economy. Here, we aimed to assess the safety and immunogenicity of candidate T-cell vaccines in African populations. Methods: HIV-CORE 006 was a double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled phase 1 trial conducted across four clinical research centres in Uganda, Kenya, and Zambia. Eligible participants were not pregnant, were living without HIV-1 or HIV-2, had a low likelihood of acquiring HIV-1, were aged 18–50 years, fully comprehended the purpose and details of this study as outlined in the participant information sheet, and passed an assessment of understanding before providing written informed consent. Participants were randomly assigned (9:2) to receive either a vaccine regimen or a placebo. The vaccine was administered as ChAdOx1.tHIVconsv1 (C1) followed by MVA.tHIVconsv3 (M3) and MVA.tHIVconsv4 (M4) in regimen C1-M3M4. The first primary outcome was the vaccines’ safety assessment, assessed in all participants who received at least one vaccine or placebo dose. The second primary outcome evaluated the C1-M3M4 regimen's induction of HIVconsvX-specific T-cell responses by assessing the proportion of vaccine recipients who responded to the vaccination, assessed in all participants who received all doses of vaccine or placebo as per protocol. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04553016, and the Pan-African Clinical Trials Registry PACTR202006495409011, and is now closed. Findings: Between July 15, 2021, and Nov 2, 2022, 89 healthy adults living without HIV-1 were randomly assigned, with 88 receiving either the vaccine (n=72) or placebo (n=16). Of these 88 participants, 57 (65%) were male and 31 (35%) were female. The C1, M3, and M4 vaccine components were well tolerated and induced HIVconsvX-specific responses in 70 (99%) of the 71 participants who completed all vaccine doses. Vaccine-elicited T cells peaked at a median of 2310 (IQR 1080–4480) IFN-γ spot-forming units per 106 peripheral blood mononuclear cells and recognised a median of eight (five to ten) of ten peptide pools spanning the HIVconsvX immunogen. The total frequencies of elicited T cells decreased 4·6 times over a 40-week follow-up period compared with the peak responses. Upon antigenic re-exposure, T cells proliferated, exhibited multiple effector functions, and inhibited HIV-1 representatives from clades A, B, C, and D. Interpretation: Results from key sub-Saharan African populations supported the safety of the vaccine regimen previously shown in the first-in-human trial in the UK. The induction of T cells and their characteristics encourage vaccine integration into HIV-1 cure strategies, which could inform HIV-1 prevention efforts. Funding: The European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership.
Influence of context on engagement with COVID-19 testing: a scoping review of barriers and facilitators to testing for healthcare workers, care homes and schools in the UK.
OBJECTIVE: The UK government's response to the COVID-19 pandemic included a 'test, trace and isolate' strategy. Testing services for healthcare workers, care homes and schools accounted for the greatest spend and volume of tests. We reviewed relevant literature to identify common and unique barriers and facilitators to engaging with each of these testing services. DESIGN: Scoping review. SEARCH STRATEGY: PubMed, Scopus and the WHO COVID-19 Research Database were searched for evidence published between 1 January 2020 and 7 November 2022. This was supplemented by evidence identified via free-text searches on Google Scholar and provided by the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA). DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Data were extracted by a team of reviewers and synthesised thematically under the broad headings of perceptions, experiences, barriers and facilitators to engaging with the COVID-19 testing programme. RESULTS: This study included 40 sources, including 17 from projects that informed UKHSA's decisions during the pandemic. Eight themes emerged and were used to categorise barriers and facilitators to engaging with the testing services for healthcare workers, care homes and schools: (1) perceived value, (2) trust in the tests and public bodies, (3) importance of infrastructure, (4) impact of media and social networks, (5) physical burden of the test, (6) perceived capability to undertake testing, (7) importance of relevant information and 8) consequences of testing. CONCLUSIONS: Universal barriers and facilitators to engagement with the testing programme related to the core elements of each testing service, such as uncomfortable specimen collection and the influence of media and peers; these could be mitigated or leveraged to increase engagement across settings. However, the individuals involved, perceptions of value and available resources differed across services, leading to unique experiences between settings. Thus, consideration of context is crucial when designing and implementing a testing programme in response to a pandemic.
Severe Parvovirus B19-Associated Myocarditis in Children in the Post-COVID-19 Era: A Multicenter Observational Cohort Study.
This study describes a cluster of severe parvovirus B19-associated myocarditis cases in children across England in the context of an increase in circulating virus. Cases were identified across 3 large children's centers. Eight cases presented from 1 January 2019 to 31 December 2023 as compared with 19 from 1 January 2024 to 31 August 2024. Almost all (n = 25, 93%) required intensive care, and 24 (88%) received inotropes and 4 (15%) extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. Myocarditis appears to be temporally associated and a late sequela of parvovirus B19, resulting in high rates of intensive care unit admission. Testing with serology and blood polymerase chain reaction should be part of a syndromic screen for all children with severe myocarditis.
The safety and immunogenicity of a bivalent conjugate vaccine against Salmonella enterica Typhi and Paratyphi A in healthy Indian adults: a phase 1, randomised, active-controlled, double-blind trial.
BACKGROUND: Enteric fever caused by Salmonella enterica Typhi and Salmonella Paratyphi A is an important public health problem, especially in low-income and middle-income countries with limited access to safe water and sanitation. We present results from, to our knowledge, the first ever human study of a bivalent paratyphoid A-typhoid conjugate vaccine (Sii-PTCV). METHODS: In this double-blind phase 1 study, 60 healthy Indian adults were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive a single intramuscular dose of either Sii-PTCV or typhoid conjugate vaccine (Typbar-TCV). Safety was assessed by observing solicited adverse events for 1 week, unsolicited events for 1 month, and serious adverse events (SAEs) over 6 months. Immunogenicity at 1 month and 6 months was assessed by measuring anti-capsular polysaccharide antigen Vi (anti-Vi) IgG and IgA against Salmonella Typhi and anti-lipopolysaccharide (LPS) IgG against Salmonella Paratyphi A by ELISA, and functional antibodies using serum bactericidal assay (SBA) against Salmonella Paratyphi A. This study is registered with Clinical Trial Registry-India (CTRI/2022/06/043608) and is completed. FINDINGS: 60 participants were enrolled. Of these 60 participants, 57 (95%) participants were male and three (5%) participants were female. Solicited adverse events were observed in 27 (90%) of 30 participants who received Sii-PTCV and 26 (87%) of 30 participants who received Typbar-TCV. The most common local solicited event was pain in 27 (90%) participants who received Sii-PTCV and in 23 (77%) participants who received Typbar-TCV. The most common solicited systemic event was myalgia in five (17%) participants who received Sii-PTCV, whereas four (13%) participants who received Typbar-TCV had myalgia and four (13%) had headache. No vaccine-related unsolicited adverse events or SAEs were reported. The seroconversion rates on day 29 were 96·7% (95% CI 82·8-99·9) with Sii-PTCV and 100·0% (88·4-100·0) with Typbar-TCV for anti-Vi IgG; 93·3% (77·9-99·2) with Sii-PTCV and 100·0% (88·4-100·0) with Typbar-TCV for anti-Vi IgA; 100·0% (88·4-100·0) with Sii-PTCV and 3·3% (0·1-17·2) with Typbar-TCV for anti-LPS (paratyphoid); and 93·3% (77·9-99·2) with Sii-PTCV and 0% (0·0-11·6) with Typbar-TCV for SBA titres (paratyphoid). Paratyphoid anti-LPS immune responses were sustained at day 181. INTERPRETATION: Sii-PTCV was safe and immunogenic for both typhoid and paratyphoid antigens indicating its potential for providing comprehensive protection against enteric fever. FUNDING: Serum Institute of India.
Development of methodology to support molecular endotype discovery from synovial fluid of individuals with knee osteoarthritis: The STEpUP OA consortium.
OBJECTIVES: To develop a protocol for largescale analysis of synovial fluid proteins, for the identification of biological networks associated with subtypes of osteoarthritis. METHODS: Synovial Fluid To detect molecular Endotypes by Unbiased Proteomics in Osteoarthritis (STEpUP OA) is an international consortium utilising clinical data (capturing pain, radiographic severity and demographic features) and knee synovial fluid from 17 participating cohorts. 1746 samples from 1650 individuals comprising OA, joint injury, healthy and inflammatory arthritis controls, divided into discovery (n = 1045) and replication (n = 701) datasets, were analysed by SomaScan Discovery Plex V4.1 (>7000 SOMAmers/proteins). An optimised approach to standardisation was developed. Technical confounders and batch-effects were identified and adjusted for. Poorly performing SOMAmers and samples were excluded. Variance in the data was determined by principal component (PC) analysis. RESULTS: A synovial fluid standardised protocol was optimised that had good reliability (<20% co-efficient of variation for >80% of SOMAmers in pooled samples) and overall good correlation with immunoassay. 1720 samples and >6290 SOMAmers met inclusion criteria. 48% of data variance (PC1) was strongly correlated with individual SOMAmer signal intensities, particularly with low abundance proteins (median correlation coefficient 0.70), and was enriched for nuclear and non-secreted proteins. We concluded that this component was predominantly intracellular proteins, and could be adjusted for using an 'intracellular protein score' (IPS). PC2 (7% variance) was attributable to processing batch and was batch-corrected by ComBat. Lesser effects were attributed to other technical confounders. Data visualisation revealed clustering of injury and OA cases in overlapping but distinguishable areas of high-dimensional proteomic space. CONCLUSIONS: We have developed a robust method for analysing synovial fluid protein, creating a molecular and clinical dataset of unprecedented scale to explore potential patient subtypes and the molecular pathogenesis of OA. Such methodology underpins the development of new approaches to tackle this disease which remains a huge societal challenge.
The Effect of Acute Knee Injuries and Related Knee Surgery on Serum Levels of Pro- and Anti-inflammatory Lipid Mediators and Their Associations With Knee Symptoms.
BACKGROUND: Despite an acute knee injury being a major risk factor for osteoarthritis, the factors that initiate and maintain this risk of longer-term knee symptoms are poorly understood. Bioactive lipids derived from omega-3 and -6 polyunsaturated fatty acids have key roles in the regulation of the inflammatory response and have been linked to joint damage and osteoarthritis pain in translational models. HYPOTHESIS: There would be associations between systemic levels of bioactive lipids and knee symptoms longitudinally after an acute knee injury and related knee surgery. STUDY DESIGN: Controlled laboratory study. METHODS: This study analyzed a subset of young, active adults who had sustained an acute knee injury (recruited via a surgical care pathway) and healthy age- and sex-matched controls. Surgery, if performed, was conducted after the baseline serum sample was taken and before the 3-month and 2-year visits. Liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry of 41 bioactive lipids was carried out in sera of (1) 47 injured participants (median age, 28 years) collected at baseline (median, 24 days after injury), 3 months, and 2 years, along with the Knee injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score, and (2) age- and sex-matched controls. RESULTS: Levels of the omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids eicosapentaenoic acid (P≤ .0001) and docosahexaenoic acid (P≤ .0001) and the pro-resolving lipid mediators 17- and 14-hydroxydocosahexaenoic acid, and 18-hydroxyeicosapentaenoic acid were all significantly greater at baseline in injured participants compared with the later time points and also higher than in healthy controls (P = .0019 and P≤ .0001, respectively). Levels of pro-inflammatory prostaglandins E2 and D2, leukotriene B4, and thromboxane B2 were significantly lower at baseline compared with the later time points. Higher levels of 8,9-, 11,12-, and 14,15-dihydroxyeicosatrienoic acid (DHET) were cross-sectionally associated with more severe knee pain/symptoms according to the Knee injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score at 2 years (P = .0004, R2 = 0.251; P = .0002, R2 = 0.278; and P = .0012, R2 = 0.214, respectively). CONCLUSION: The profile of pro-resolving versus pro-inflammatory lipids at baseline suggests an initial activation of pro-resolution pathways, followed by the later activation of pro-inflammatory pathways. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: In this largely surgically managed cohort, the association of soluble epoxide hydrolase metabolites, the DHETs, with more severe knee symptoms at 2 years provides a rationale for further investigation into the role of this pathway in persisting knee symptoms in this population, including potential therapeutic strategies.
Oral Swab Testing With Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra for the Diagnosis of Tuberculosis in Children Aged <5 Years in Uganda: An Exploratory Interim Analysis of Diagnostic Accuracy in the NOD-pedFEND Cohort.
BACKGROUND: Obtaining respiratory samples to diagnose tuberculosis in young children is challenging. Oral swabs are alternative noninvasive specimens for microbiology. METHODS: We conducted an interim prospective diagnostic accuracy evaluation of Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra (Ultra) on oral swabs for pulmonary tuberculosis in children aged <5 years in Uganda. Most children had 2 consecutive swabs collected in a single cryovial (double swabs). Reference tests consisted of Ultra and culture on 2 nasopharyngeal aspirates and 1 gastric aspirate and Ultra on 1 stool. Children were classified as having confirmed tuberculosis, unconfirmed tuberculosis, or unlikely tuberculosis per the National Institutes of Health. Diagnostic accuracy was determined against a microbiological reference standard and a composite reference standard. RESULTS: From August 2021 to February 2024, 444 children were enrolled, of whom 399 had complete classifications: 33 had confirmed tuberculosis, 269 had unconfirmed tuberculosis, 70 had unlikely tuberculosis, and 27 were unclassifiable. The median age was 16 months and 17% had HIV. Most children (398/399) had oral swabs collected, all with conclusive Ultra results. The sensitivity of double swabs was 6.9% with a microbiological reference standard (95% CI, 1.9%-22.0%) and 1.8% with a composite reference standard (95% CI, .8%-4.1%). Specificity was at least 99%. Swabs detected tuberculosis in 4 children with negative reference test results, of whom 3 had unconfirmed tuberculosis. CONCLUSIONS: The low sensitivity of Ultra on double swabs precludes its role as a principal diagnostic approach in young children. However, detection of tuberculosis in children who were not otherwise microbiologically diagnosed suggests the utility of oral swabs as add-on samples to increase yield.
A phase 1/2a clinical trial to assess safety and immunogenicity of an adenoviral-vectored capsular group B meningococcal vaccine
Capsular group B meningococcus (MenB) remains an important cause of disease globally, and additional vaccines against MenB would aid in reducing the incidence of infection. Previous work has demonstrated that a MenB adenoviral-vectored vaccine, ChAdOx1 MenB.1, elicited high serum bactericidal responses in preclinical models after a single dose, supporting further clinical development of this vaccine. Here, we report the results of a trial designed to assess the safety and immunogenicity of ChAdOx1 MenB.1 in healthy adults aged 18 to 50. In this phase 1/2a, single-center trial, participants received one or two doses of ChAdOx1 MenB.1 at days 0 and 180. One dose of ChAdOx1 MenB.1 was also given at day 180 to some individuals primed with one dose of 4CMenB at day 0. Participants recorded their symptoms in an electronic diary after vaccination, and safety blood readouts were monitored. Serum bactericidal antibody (SBA) assays were performed against a panel of MenB target strains. ChAdOx1 MenB.1 was well tolerated with no safety concerns and elicited protective SBA titers against a MenB strain expressing a homologous factor H–binding protein (fHbp) variant in 100% of participants after two doses. However, cross-reactivity analysis indicated a low SBA response to strains expressing heterologous fHbp, suggesting that a multivalent vaccine may be needed. In sum, ChAdOx1 MenB.1 is immunogenic in humans, and addition of another fHbp variant or of another antigen in this platform could provide an approach to extend protection against endemic MenB disease.
Consultation report - considerations for a regulatory pathway for bivalent Salmonella Typhi/Paratyphi A vaccines for use in endemic countries.
Enteric fever caused by Salmonella enterica serovars Typhi and Paratyphi A and, to a lesser extent, S. Paratyphi B and C, remains a significant cause of mortality and morbidity in resource-constrained settings. Typhoid conjugate vaccines (TCVs) protect against S. Typhi but no vaccine to date protects against paratyphoid fever. There are several bivalent S. Typhi/Paratyphi A products in development; however, the low incidence of paratyphoid fever in many settings limits the feasibility of phase 3 efficacy studies. Two bivalent vaccines adding the S. Paratyphi A-specific O:2 lipopolysaccharide conjugated to a protein carrier to TCV constructs have successfully completed phase 1 studies and will progress rapidly in their development. The WHO's Product Development for Vaccines Advisory Committee (PDVAC) endorsed a regulatory pathway for a bivalent S. Typhi/Paratyphi A vaccine that contemplates demonstrating protective efficacy against S. Paratyphi A infection in a controlled human infection model (CHIM). Since the use of CHIM data in lieu of phase 3 efficacy studies and to identify markers of immune protection is not yet widely accepted by regulatory bodies, the WHO organized a consultation with vaccine developers, manufacturers, and regulators. The purpose of the meeting was to discuss the feasibility and considerations for the licensure of a bivalent S. Typhi/Paratyphi A vaccine. The aim of the consultation was to gain alignment among key stakeholders and facilitate the pathway to licensure in endemic countries.
Prevalence, clinical management, and outcomes of adults hospitalised with endemic arbovirus illness in southeast Europe (MERMAIDS-ARBO): a prospective observational study.
BACKGROUND: Arboviruses have expanded into new regions in Europe, yet data indicate gaps in disease notifications and a risk of further spread. We aimed to report on prevalence, clinical management, and outcomes of endemic arbovirus infections in southeast Europe. METHODS: In this prospective observational study (MERMAIDS-ARBO), we enrolled adults (age ≥18 years) hospitalised with an arbovirus-compatible disease syndrome within 21 days of symptom onset across 21 hospitals in seven countries in southeast Europe over four arbovirus seasons (May 1-Oct 31, during 2016-19). We obtained data from case report forms completed by site investigators on admission and discharge. Participants were excluded if they had non-infectious CNS disorders, symptoms of another confirmed cause, an identified focal source of infection, or symptoms caused by recurrence of a pre-existing condition. The primary outcome was the proportion of participants with confirmed or probable acute infections with West Nile virus (WNV), tick-borne encephalitis virus (TBEV), Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever virus (CCHFV), or Toscana virus (TOSV), per reference laboratory criteria. Secondary outcomes were the proportions of patients treated with antivirals, antibiotics, or corticosteroids; the proportion of patients requiring intensive care; hospital length of stay; and mortality. FINDINGS: Of 2896 adults screened for eligibility, 929 were recruited and 913 met protocol-defined eligibility criteria (median age 43·1 years [IQR 29·5-59·7]; 550 [60%] men, 361 [40%] women, and two [<1%] with missing data). 530 (58%) participants presented with suspected meningitis, encephalitis, or both, and 318 (35%) with fever plus myalgia, fever plus arthralgia, or both. 820 (90%) reported no international travel within 21 days before symptom onset. 727 (80%) were administered antibiotics, 379 (42%) corticosteroids, and 222 (24%) antivirals. The median length of hospital stay was 9 days (IQR 6-14), and 113 (12%) required intensive care. Of 847 participants with a reference laboratory sample who met full eligibility criteria for analysis, 110 (13%) were diagnosed with 114 confirmed or probable acute arbovirus infections (four had coinfections or cross-reactivity): one (<1%) with CCHFV, 16 (2%) with TBEV, 44 (5%) with TOSV, and 53 (6%) with WNV. There was one death (<1%) of an individual with WNV. Of the 110 participants, 49 (45%) had a local clinician-attributed arbovirus discharge diagnosis. INTERPRETATION: Our data highlight the need to strengthen arbovirus surveillance systems for the early detection of emerging and re-emerging outbreaks, including investments to increase awareness of arbovirus infections among clinicians, to improve access to specialist diagnostics, and to develop effective and accessible vaccines and treatments to protect populations and health systems in southeast Europe. FUNDING: European Commission and Versatile Emerging infectious disease Observatory. TRANSLATIONS: For the Greek, Albanian, Romanian, Bosnian, Serbian, and Croatian translation of the summary see Supplementary Materials section.
Multi-antigen serology and a diagnostic algorithm for the detection of arbovirus infections as novel tools for arbovirus preparedness in southeast Europe (MERMAIDS-ARBO): a prospective observational study.
BACKGROUND: Arboviruses are increasingly affecting Europe, partly due to the effects of climate change. This increase in range and impact emphasises the need to improve preparedness for emerging arboviral infections that often co-circulate and might have overlapping clinical syndromes. We aimed to strengthen surveillance networks for four clinically relevant arboviruses in southeast Europe. METHODS: This study reports an in-depth analysis of the MERMAIDS-ARBO prospective observational study in adults (ie, aged ≥18 years) hospitalised with an arbovirus-compatible disease syndrome in 21 hospitals in seven countries in southeast Europe over four arbovirus seasons (May 1-Oct 31, 2016-19) to obtain arbovirus prevalence outcomes. The main objectives of the MERMAIDS-ARBO study, describing the clinical management and outcomes of four arboviruses endemic to southeast Europe, including Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever virus (CCHFV), tick-borne encephalitis virus (TBEV), Toscana virus, and West Nile virus (WNV), are reported elsewhere. In this analysis, given the challenges associated with arbovirus diagnostics, we developed a diagnostic algorithm accounting for serology outcomes and sample timing to study arbovirus prevalence in southeast Europe. Serum samples were collected on days 0, 7, 28, and 60 after hospital admission and tested for anti-CCHFV IgG and IgM antibodies with ELISAs (confirmed with an indirect immunofluorescence test) and for IgG and IgM antibodies specific to TBEV, Toscana virus, and WNV with custom-printed protein microarrays (confirmed with virus neutralisation tests). All acute-phase samples were tested by PCR for all four viruses. Descriptive analyses were performed for virus-reactive cases by geography and year, and possible factors (eg, age, sex, and insect bites) associated with virus reactivity were assessed. FINDINGS: Of 2896 individuals screened, 913 were eligible for inclusion, of whom 863 (514 men, 332 women, and 17 unknown) had samples sent to the study reference laboratories and were included in molecular and serological analyses. Some individuals had insufficient clinical data to be included in the clinical analysis, but met the eligibility criteria for and were included here. Serum sampling was incomplete (eg, samples missing from one or more timepoints or no data on time since symptom onset) for 602 (70%) patients, and the timing of collection was often heterogeneous after symptom onset up to 40 days (average median delay of 5-6 days across all timepoints), affecting the ability to diagnose arbovirus infection by serology. By use of an interpretation table incorporating timing and completeness of sampling, one (<1%) participant had a confirmed recent infection with CCHFV, ten (1%) with TBEV, 40 (5%) with Toscana virus, and 52 (6%) with WNV. Most acute confirmed infections of Toscana virus were found in Albania (25 [63%] of 40), whereas WNV was primarily identified in Romania (36 [69%] of 52). Albania also had the highest overall Toscana virus seropositivity (168 [60%] of 282), mainly explained by patients confirmed to be exposed or previously exposed (104 [62%] of 168). Patients without antibodies to WNV or Toscana virus were significantly younger than patients with antibodies (mean difference -8·48 years [95% CI -12·31 to -4·64] for WNV, and -6·97 years [-9·59 to -4·35] for Toscana virus). We found higher odds of Toscana virus reactivity in men (odds ratio 1·56 [95% CI 1·15 to 2·11]; p=0·0055), WNV reactivity with mosquito bites versus no mosquito bites (2·47 [1·54 to 3·97]; p=0·0002), and TBEV reactivity with tick bites versus no tick bites (2·21 [1·19 to 4·11]; p=0·018). INTERPRETATION: This study shows that despite incomplete and heterogeneous data, differential diagnosis of suspected arbovirus infections is possible, and the diagnostic interpretation algorithm we propose could potentially be used to strengthen routine diagnostics in clinical settings in areas at risk for arboviral diseases. Our data highlight potential hotspots for arbovirus surveillance and risk factors associated with these particular arbovirus infections. FUNDING: European Commission and Versatile Emerging infectious disease Observatory. TRANSLATIONS: For the Greek, Albanian, Romanian, Bosnian, Serbian, and Croatian translation of the summary see Supplementary Materials section.
Risk analysis for outpatient experimental infection as a pathway for affordable RSV vaccine development
Controlled human infection models (CHIMs) are an important tool for accelerating clinical development of vaccines. CHIM costs are driven by quarantine facilities but may be reduced by performing CHIM in the outpatient setting. Furthermore, outpatient CHIMs offer benefits beyond costs, such as a participant-friendly approach and increased real-world aspect. We analyze safety, logistic and ethical risks of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) CHIM in the outpatient setting. A review of the literature identified outpatient CHIMs involving respiratory pathogens. RSV transmission risk was assessed using data from our inpatient and outpatient RSV CHIMs (EudraCT 020-004137-21). Fifty-nine outpatient CHIMs using RSV, Streptococcus pneumoniae, rhinovirus, and an ongoing Bordetella Pertussis outpatient CHIM were included. One transmission event was recorded. In an inpatient RSV CHIM, standard droplet and isolation measures were sufficient to limit RSV transmission and no symptomatic third-party transmission was measured in the first outpatient RSV CHIM. Logistic and ethical advantages support outpatient CHIM adoption. We propose a framework for outpatient RSV CHIM with risk mitigation strategies to enhance affordable vaccine development.
5-year vaccine protection following a single dose of Vi-tetanus toxoid conjugate vaccine in Bangladeshi children (TyVOID): a cluster randomised trial.
BACKGROUND: WHO currently recommends a single dose of typhoid conjugate vaccine (TCV) in high-burden countries based on 2-year vaccine efficacy data from large randomised controlled trials. Given the decay of immunogenicity, the protection beyond 2 years is unknown. We therefore extended the follow-up of the TyVAC trial in Bangladesh to assess waning of vaccine protection to 5 years after vaccination. METHODS: We conducted a cluster randomised controlled trial (TyVAC; ISRCTN11643110) in Dhaka, Bangladesh, between 2018 and 2021. Children aged 9 months to 15 years were invited to receive a single dose of TCV or Japanese encephalitis vaccine between April 15, 2018, and November 16, 2019, based on the randomisation of their clusters of residence. Children who received the Japanese encephalitis vaccine were invited to receive TCV at the final visit between Jan 6, and Aug 31, 2021, according to the protocol. This follow-on study extended the follow-up of the original trial until Aug 14, 2023. The primary endpoint of this study was to compare the incidence of blood culture-confirmed typhoid between children who received TCV in 2018-19 (the previous-TCV group) and those who received the vaccine in 2021 (the recent-TCV group), to evaluate the relative decline in vaccine protection. We also did a nested study using the test-negative design comparing the recent-TCV and previous-TCV groups with unvaccinated individuals, as well as an immunogenicity study in a subset of 1500 children. FINDINGS: Compared with the recent-TCV group, the previous-TCV group had an increased risk of typhoid fever between 2021-23, with an adjusted incidence rate ratio of 3·10 (95% CI 1·53 to 6·29; p<0·0001), indicating a decline in the protection of a single-dose of TCV 3-5 years after vaccination. The extrapolated vaccine effectiveness in years 3-5 was 50% (95% CI -13 to 78), and was validated using the test-negative design analysis, with a vaccine effectiveness of 84% (74 to 90) in the recent-TCV group and 55% (36 to 68) in the previous-TCV group, compared with unvaccinated individuals. Anti-Vi-IgG responses declined over the study period. The highest rate of decay was seen in children vaccinated at younger than 2 years in the original trial. The inverse correlation between age and the decay of antibodies was also seen in the subgroup analysis of vaccine effectiveness, where the youngest age group (<7 years at fever visits) exhibited the fastest waning, with vaccine effectiveness dropping to 24% (95% CI -29 to 55) at 3-5 years after vaccination. INTERPRETATION: A decline in the protection conferred by a single-dose TCV was observed 3-5 years after vaccination, with the greatest decline in protection and immune responses observed in children vaccinated at younger ages. A booster dose of TCV around school entry age might be needed for children vaccinated while younger than 2 years to sustain protection against typhoid fever during the school years when the risk is the highest. FUNDING: The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
The validity of test-negative design for assessment of typhoid conjugate vaccine protection: comparison of estimates by different study designs using data from a cluster-randomised controlled trial.
BACKGROUND: Typhoid fever remains a substantial public health challenge in low-income and middle-income countries. By 2023, typhoid conjugate vaccines (TCVs) had been introduced in six countries globally, with more than 50 million doses distributed. Now that TCVs are being deployed, there is a need for observational studies to assess vaccine effectiveness in the field. We aimed to evaluate the validity of different observational study designs in estimating vaccine protection. METHODS: We compared different observational and experimental study designs for assessing vaccine effectiveness by re-analysing data from the TyVAC Bangladesh trial, a participant-blinded and observer-blinded cluster-randomised controlled trial done in Mirpur, Dhaka, Bangladesh. 150 geographical clusters were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive either TCV or Japanese encephalitis vaccine. Eligible children aged 9 months to 15 years were offered a single dose of the vaccine randomly assigned to their cluster of residence, and baseline vaccination was done between April 15 and May 15, 2018. We compared estimates of vaccine effectiveness from the cluster-randomised controlled trial analysis-which assessed the risk of blood-culture-confirmed typhoid fever among recipients of TCV versus recipients of Japanese encephalitis vaccine-with estimates from cohort study and test-negative case-control study design (TND) analyses, which compared recipients of TCV with non-vaccinees in the 75 geographical clusters where TCV was administered. We further conducted negative-control exposure (NCE) and negative-control outcome (NCO) analyses as bias indicators. FINDINGS: 41 344 (67%) of 62 025 age-eligible children in the study area received the TCV or Japanese encephalitis vaccine during the baseline vaccination campaign. Among the 62 025 age-eligible children, 5582 blood-culture specimens were collected by passive surveillance, including 2546 (46%) specimens from the 75 TCV clusters. The estimated vaccine efficacy was 89% (95% CI 81-93) in the cluster-randomised controlled trial analysis, 79% (70-86) by the cohort design, 88% (79-93) by the TND when pan-negatives were used as test-negative controls, and 90% (75-96) by the TND when specimens positive for pathogens other than Salmonella enterica serotype Typhi were used as test-negative controls. Using NCE analysis, Japanese encephalitis vaccination was associated with an increased risk of typhoid fever compared with non-vaccinees in the 75 Japanese encephalitis clusters in the cohort design (incidence rate ratio 1·98 [95% CI 1·56-2·52]), but no significant association between Japanese encephalitis vaccination and typhoid fever was found with the TND. Similarly, an increased risk of non-typhoid infections was observed in the cohort NCO analyses when comparing vaccinees with non-vaccinees in both Japanese encephalitis vaccine clusters and TCV clusters, but not in the TND NCO analyses. INTERPRETATION: Our findings suggests that the TND provides reliable estimates of TCV effectiveness, whereas the cohort design can bias vaccine effectiveness estimates, possibly due to unmeasured confounding effects, such as health-care-seeking behaviours. NCE and NCO approaches are useful tools for identifying such biases. FUNDING: The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.